Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 1.058023 1.204962 1.365036 1.552398 1.765737 2.001164 2.280783
2025-11-30 0.819093 1.015726 1.248734 1.545347 1.913195 2.354846 2.926130
2025-12-07 0.674027 0.886715 1.153907 1.514501 1.989099 2.593425 3.423160
2025-12-14 0.566612 0.782244 1.066363 1.468566 2.024329 2.766909 3.837564
2025-12-21 0.495108 0.712713 1.011530 1.452455 2.088029 2.973532 4.305760
2025-12-28 0.456747 0.682632 1.004546 1.497587 2.235816 3.303789 4.973319
2026-01-04 0.406758 0.629002 0.956586 1.475610 2.280091 3.484476 5.434185
2026-01-11 0.379149 0.605180 0.948948 1.511066 2.410844 3.801567 6.127430
2026-01-18 0.348531 0.572989 0.924487 1.516418 2.492829 4.047658 6.728357
2026-01-25 0.316665 0.535254 0.887089 1.496220 2.529825 4.222552 7.225905
2026-02-01 0.285989 0.496261 0.843614 1.460953 2.536919 4.346472 7.645594
2026-02-08 0.259329 0.461388 0.803534 1.426996 2.541732 4.464603 8.062477
2026-02-15 0.238805 0.437578 0.784115 1.434464 2.632842 4.762774 8.872159
2026-02-22 0.217324 0.410243 0.756625 1.426337 2.698575 5.029268 9.667780
2026-03-01 0.195810 0.380219 0.720707 1.397920 2.722209 5.219091 10.337355
2026-03-08 0.175220 0.349533 0.680084 1.355550 2.713494 5.345256 10.894694
2026-03-15 0.160376 0.328346 0.655174 1.340689 2.756162 5.573302 11.678208
2026-03-22 0.153335 0.321976 0.658432 1.382318 2.916462 6.049934 13.023849
2026-03-29 0.140583 0.302413 0.633096 1.362047 2.945854 6.261866 13.832683
2026-04-05 0.134159 0.295491 0.632956 1.394751 3.090742 6.728809 15.245148
2026-04-12 0.125783 0.283422 0.620685 1.399687 3.175255 7.074271 16.424587
2026-04-19 0.116216 0.267688 0.598894 1.381058 3.204841 7.301488 17.358127
2026-04-26 0.106476 0.250536 0.572256 1.348529 3.198943 7.447769 18.117413